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                 Securities Lending Market Report | June 2022









             Fixed Income











     >>>     Europe Fixed Income



             With good volumes and spreads from the end of Q4 usually dissipating post year end it was an unusual sight to see bonds
             still trading well in the first quarter.
             With the ECB and Bank of England maintaining their bond   The Bank of England followed the Federal Reserve’s lead,
             buying programs, spreads in bunds and gilts remained wider   hiking 100bp in four consecutive meetings, and the ECB
             than normal with the former trading particularly special at   gave quite firm guidance as to their intentions to hike 50bp
             times and gilt specials remaining at or near the Standing   when bond buying finished. To that effect they closed the
             Repo Facility levels despite the rate rises.     Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP) and planned
                                                              to hurry the scale back of the Asset Purchase Program (APP)
             With most eyes firmly on future tightening and interest rate
             rises, the combination of the war and its effect on energy   whist increasing the volume in the short term. The global
             prices and Central Bank easing, alongside the existing   interest rate action had an effect on HQLA swap trades,
             disruption from Brexit and Covid, meant that Central Bank   with the most active USD vs JPY trade increasing in spread
             action to calm inflationary pressures was and will continue   towards half year end.
             to be theme for some time going forward.




             Fig 2 - DataLend

                                                European Government Bond Market

                                                                                                                                 Corporate debt which had already begun the year with
                1.20                                                                                     0.40                    some volatility with the events of the last two years
              Lendable Value (Trillions €)  0.80                                                         0.25  On-Loan Value (Trillions €)  travel and retail was further compounded by the so called
                                                                                                         0.35
                1.00
                                                                                                                                 having caused stress, especially in sectors like property,
                                                                                                         0.30
                                                                                                                                 weaponization of gas causing stress in some emerging
                0.60
                                                                                                         0.20
                                                                                                                                 economies like Hungary, Poland and the Czech Republic.
                                                                                                         0.15
                0.40
                                                                                                                                 With higher rates now inevitable, the pressure has
                                                                                                         0.10
                                                                                                                                 increased on emerging market countries and companies
                0.20
                                                                                                         -
                  -
                                                                                                                                 We have seen some illiquidity and wider spreads in issues
                 Jan 2022       Feb 2022        Mar 2022       Apr 2022       May 2022        Jun 2022   0.05                    that have traditionally relied on cheaper USD funding.
                                                                                                                                 from Brazil, Panama and Colombia to Turkey, Egypt and
                                                   Group Lendable  On-Loan Balance                                               Indonesia.
   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15