Page 17 - 2516_21_June_ISLA_Market_Report_-_Jan_2025_-_online
P. 17

16                                                                                                      17

 Securities Lending Market Report | H2 2024









 Equities











 Introduction


 It remained a challenged landscape in the equity lending markets over the course of 2024. Strong equity market
 performance, accompanied by multifaceted bouts of volatility resulted in reduced appetite to deploy capital, particularly on
 the short side. Geopolitical uncertainty, interest rate expectations and growth concerns all contributed to a largely risk-off
 approach from investors.





 >>>  Global  >>>  North America

 Fig 4 - S&P Global  Fig 5 - S&P Global
 Global Equity Market                               North American Equity Market


 35.00  1.40     25.00                                                                                     0.80
 Lendable Value (Trillions €)  25.00  1.00  On-Loan Value (Trillions €)  Lendable Value (Trillions €)  15.00  0.50  On-Loan Value (Trillions €)
                                                                                                           0.70
 30.00
 1.20
                 20.00
                                                                                                           0.60
 0.80
 20.00
                                                                                                           0.40
 0.60
 15.00
                 10.00
                                                                                                           0.30
 10.00
 0.40
                                                                                                           0.20
                  5.00
 5.00
                                                                                                           0.00
 -
 0.00
 Jan 2024  Feb 2024  Mar 2024  Apr 2024  May 2024  Jun 2024  Jul 2024  Aug 2024  Sep 2024  Oct 2024  Nov 2024  Dec 2024  0.20  0.00  Feb 2024  Mar 2024  Apr 2024  May 2024  Jun 2024  Jul 2024  Aug 2024  Sep 2024  Oct 2024  Nov 2024  Dec 2024  0.10
                  Jan 2024
 Group Lendable  On-Loan Balance                     Group Lendable  On-Loan Balance
 Global equities index performance remained very resilient in the second half of 2024. The S&P 500 and MSCI World Index   US equities indices were the standout performer over the period, producing double digit gains for 2024. Dovish interest
 both increasing +23.3% and +19.2% respectively through 2024. This represented a continuation of a remarkable rally in   rate sentiment and optimism surrounding Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election helped support market
 risk assets over the past 2 years. That said, this wasn’t without some challenges and spikes in volatility along the way, with   gains. President Trump’s policy programme is expected to elevate growth, lower taxes and cut regulation, which has
 recessionary and inflation concerns as well as changing monetary policy sentiment all contributing to bouts of volatility.   fuelled risk assets and US equity outperformance.
 US equity stock market performance lead the way with   In response to rising global equity indices, investors have   As with the global theme, investor balances have   US securities dominated the top global earning equities for
 continued optimism in the fourth quarter driven by the   maintained a record oversized net long bias within equity   maintained a significant net long bias, with conviction on   the period, but that did not halt an overall decline in global
 Republicans resounding win in the US elections. Europe   portfolios which has impacted securities lending flows.   the short side low. Sectors driving special demand include   equity lending revenues, with a significant reduction in
 by contrast exhibited more modest returns, influenced by   General collateral activity has been reduced given the glut   electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, and renewable   average fees running into year-end with refinancing and de-
 political uncertainties. APAC was negatively impacted as   of long holdings providing opportunity for prime brokers to   energy. Demand to source exchange-traded funds (ETFs)   risking prevalent. Canadian equities suffered a similar fate
 the prospect of Trump’s second term raising tensions over   cover shorts internally. We also experienced a dislocation   remained robust throughout H2 2024 as they provide an   with a drop in fees and revenues due to a lack of specials
 potential trade tariffs, specifically with China that has such a   in funding markets, due to balance sheet scarcity and GSIB   efficient way to gain market expose from either a hedge or   and strong equity market valuations causing a reduction
 dominant impact on the region.  pressures, which was especially pronounced around key   directional perspective. Demand was particularly prevalent   in the deployment of capital on the short side. South
 reporting dates and impacted the appeal to cover shorts   in ETFs tracking High Yield Corporate Bond indices due to   America bucked the trend somewhat, with Brazil posting
 From a securities lending perspective, demand has been
 softer against a backdrop of rising equity valuations. While   physically. With reduced short side conviction, shorting   fluctuating US interest rate expectations.   strong revenues as a function of robust short interest in the
 the global value of equities on-loan increased moderately   themes have been scarce, with specials activity muted.      Brazilian retail sector.
 over the period, it did not keep pace with the rise in   Overall global equity revenues declined 11% YoY.
 lendable value, leading to industry utilisation levels falling
 17% versus the same period last year.
   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22