Page 19 - 2516_21_June_ISLA_Market_Report_-_Jan_2025_-_online
P. 19

18                                                                                                      19

 Securities Lending Market Report | H2 2024










 >>>  EMEA  >>>  APAC

 Fig 6 - S&P Global  Fig 7 - S&P Global
 European Equity Market                         APAC All Securities Lendable & On-Loan

 3.70  0.25      2.50                                                                                     0.25
 Lendable Value (Trillions €)  3.50  0.15  On-Loan Value (Trillions €)  Lendable Value (Trillions €)  1.50  0.23  On-Loan Value (Trillions €)
 3.60
                                                                                                          0.24
 0.20
                 2.00
                                                                                                          0.22
 3.40
 3.30
                                                                                                          0.21
 0.10
                 1.00
                                                                                                          0.20
 3.20
                 0.50
 0.05
 3.10
 3.00
                                                                                                          0.18
                  Jan 2024
 Jan 2024  Feb 2024  Mar 2024  Apr 2024  May 2024  Jun 2024  Jul 2024  Aug 2024  Sep 2024  Oct 2024  Nov 2024  Dec 2024  0.00  0.00  Feb 2024  Mar 2024  Apr 2024  May 2024  Jun 2024  Jul 2024  Aug 2024  Sep 2024  Oct 2024  Nov 2024  Dec 2024  0.19
 Group Lendable  On-Loan Balance                     Group Lendable  On-Loan Balance
 European equities indices suffered a turbulent H2, navigating political and geo-political uncertainty, stubborn inflation   On the face of it, APAC equity markets indices fared well through 2024 with many posting double digit gains. However, if
 and slowing growth. Equity market returns were relatively flat over the period, with the region is now lagging US equity   we look under the surface, we find a mixed story across the region’s markets. Taiwan’s tech heavy index performed best,
 index performance by record margins. The outcome of the US presidential also weighed on European equity indices.   driven upwards by the boom in AI related stocks, particularly the semiconductor industry.
 Protectionist policies and support for domestic growth from the Trump administration fuelled expectations the US will   Japan maintained its upward trajectory from 2023, buoyed   Hong Kong, a traditionally strong revenue generating
 outperform the EU and China.
             by the success of long-term governance reforms, a positive   market, saw suppressed borrow activity with its Hang Seng
 From a securities lending perspective, hard to borrow   Regional expansion remained a key theme through H2   economic environment and mild inflation leading to a   index trading at multi year lows throughout the first three
 revenues continued to be compressed as the region lacked   2024 for global financing markets, with the Middle East   cautious easing of monetary policy. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s   quarters due to slowing economic growth in China and
 any meaningful sector themes, with revenue highly crowded   a source of increasing interest. Securities lending in Saudi   Hang Seng index recovered moderately from a low base   a prolonged housing crises with many Chinese property
 to a small number of specials. Stubborn inflation and higher-  Arabia continues to be at the forefront of the regional   at the start of the year but remains challenged by sluggish   companies struggling to repay debt. Lending volumes
 for-longer interest rate rhetoric drove demand for those   expansion however we expect demand to increase across   growth and a prolonged property crisis on the Chinese   remained low, as stimulus measures aimed at lifting the
 distressed companies servicing high debt payments. The   other regional market as we look forwards. The hedge fund   mainland. Korea’s Kospi was the only major Asian market to   Chinese economy did little to boost market sentiment.
 industry saw attrition in the GC space with significant impact   industry continues to look for new sources of alpha, with   decline. After tracking global trends in the first half of the   As a result, hedge funds maintain a risk off stance with
 felt from the pricing pressures in funding markets making   interest centred across previous untapped jurisdictions.   year the Kospi faced mounting headwinds in the second   insufficient concentrated demand to create conditions for
 synthetic sourcing a lot more attractive than physical borrow   Given the ongoing growth in capital markets in Saudi   half as concerns over semiconductor competitiveness, tariff   specials activity.
 for short coverage. Regulatory pressures and overall net long   Arabia, this represents a key focus for Prime Brokers and   fears and a prolonged political crisis at home, all weighed   In other APAC markets, there were regulatory headwinds to
 bias pushed balances lower with borrowers internalising   Agent Lenders alike, especially given the revenue declines   negatively on consumer sentiment.   contend with, such as the short selling ban in South Korea,
 greater volumes of their book, which coupled with highly   elsewhere in EMEA. As is often the case in new and   Securities lending demand across the APAC markets was   where regulators continued to shape and implement a new
 attractive synthetic pricing, made for a challenging period.   emerging lending markets, lending fee remain elevated with   also mixed through 2024, very much aligning with the   market wide short selling regime. Thailand also sought to
 There is continued emphasis on regulatory efficient   demand currently exceeding supply.  underlying market conditions. The net impact of the varied   review its short selling and securities lending framework
 structures, which typically prompt increased trading   conditions across the APAC markets meant that year-over-  undertaking a yearlong consultation with industry
 flow. Those such as GMSLA pledge and Smart-Bucketing   year average loan balances and revenues were relatively flat.   participants. Both markets continue to work to produce the
 provided more cost-effective ways for borrowers to source   The trajectory was by no means linear with a soft start to   finalized versions of their regulations at the time of writing.
 their supply needs, with these constructs reducing their   the year being counterbalanced by a stronger finish.
 regulatory capital requirement. Overall, regional balances   Thematically, in addition to AI or technology driven borrow
 fell ~15%, with a concentration of revenue coming from key   Taiwan generated the most traditional securities lending   activity, there was demand across the electric vehicle
 markets. France was the highest generating EMEA market   revenue amongst its regional peers. Semiconductors and   sector where competition, subsidies and tariffs have driven
 by some margin, with Germany and UK completing the top   related stocks experienced meteoric rises in stock prices   pricing pressures, contributing to short interest in the car
 3. Revenues in the region declined 27% over 2024.   in 2024, driving the TAIEX to record highs and providing   manufacturers themselves as well as battery manufacturers
             fertile ground for directional shorting activity. This landscape   and infrastructure companies. This has also impacted index
             on its own would have provided ample opportunity but   rebalancing demand. For example, in Australia, where some
             coupled with the lack of conviction towards Hong Kong   lithium miners‘ stocks removed from the ASX200 and MSCI
             and the continued short selling ban in Korea, meant the   indices, driving elevated fees in those companies that were
             attention in Taiwan was even more focused. Japan was a   deleted.
             dependable market from a volume perspective, providing
             long term lending stability but suffered from a dearth of
             specials, despite capital raising activity being highest among
             its regional peers.
   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   24