Page 35 - ISLA_SLReport_Feb2021_final
P. 35

We saw some specific borrowing around securities
 associated with either pandemic-sensitive names in areas
 such as the travel industry, or companies that may have
 been exposed to the details associated with the final trade
 deal between the EU and the UK owing to Brexit.   More broadly, the final quarter saw wider demand to
               borrow equities, particularly in North America where a
               rush of Initial Public Offerings prompted an increased
               demand to borrow securities, as traders positioned
               themselves around these issues.





 Fig 16: Global Securities Lending Equity Market (on-loan cash vs non-cash)   Source: IHS Markit

 €450B  €600B

        From a collateral perspective, the equity market is   In closing this review of equity markets and
        traditionally one that is split 60/40 between non-cash   notwithstanding that the issues around GameStop have all
        and cash collateral transactions. The second half of the   occurred in early 2021, these are potentially fundamental
        year tends to conform to those parameters, but it is   shifts in the way markets work that cannot be ignored.
        interesting to note that as balances rose, particularly into
 €425B  €575B  the September quarter-end, all incremental business would   There has already been considerable debate in the media
        appear to have been against non-cash collateral. Again,   about the specifics of the GameStop situation that will
        the reasons behind this pattern of data may be mixed, but   play out over time. What is important here is not perhaps
        as borrowers saw the value of their own equity inventory   how a poorly performing company in an obsolete market
 On-Loan Balance vs Cash  €400B  €550B  On-Loan Balance vs Non Cash  collateral. Also, as we have outlined before, lenders may be   perspective, but how that has happened outside of the
                                                    segment has been transformed from a stock market
        positions increase, they were able to use more of them as
                                                    normal channels that we are all familiar and comfortable
        reluctant to receive cash collateral over key reporting dates,
                                                    with. We have seen many times in the past how long-
        as short-term investment opportunities are likely to be
                                                    only investors have countered short-side participants by
        constrained or even destroy value if the reinvestment is in
        a currency where short rates are either at zero or negative.
        In contrast to the volatility seen in respect of non-cash   buying the underlying stock.
                                                    What is different here is where that buy-side momentum
        collateral, cash collateral remained constant over the   has come from, and how the inherent power that
        period. Amid limited reinvestment opportunities as   technology through the internet has enabled retail
 €375B  €525B  global interest rates have remained at historically low   investors to disintermediate the traditional investment
        levels, we might have expected a greater drift away from   management conduits and engage in markets directly.
        the use of cash collateral. However, many funds notably   This is worrying for regulators, who instead of being
        in the US are not able to accept non-cash collateral at   faced with heavily regulated entities at each point in the
        this time. Consequently, the circa 40% of all collateral   value chain, are suddenly faced with almost a populist
        that is in the form of cash should be seen as something   movement. This is very new territory for everyone
        of a regulatory-driven resistance point, rather than   involved, and now that the genie is out of that particular
 €350B  €500B  necessarily the most efficient form of collateral that   bottle, it is unlikely to be the last time we will be talking
 Jun 20  July 20  Aug 20  Sep 20  Oct 20  Nov 20  Dec 20  borrowers could offer to lenders.   about direct action of retail investors.
 34                                                                                         35
   30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40