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The Future of Securities Services                                                                   On top of that, global geopolitical uncertainties increase   The analysis of the working group,
                                                                                                                                                        supplemented by research from Oliver Wyman
                                                                                                            the risk that the global Securities Services industry
                                                                                                            becomes regionally fractured. This might disadvantage   and a survey of ISSA member institutions,
        Colin Parry                                 William Hodash                                          firms that consequentially need to scale back their global   all conducted for the report, identified ten
        Chief Executive Officer, ISSA               Managing Director, Enterprise Data Management, DTCC     business models. As a counterpoint, the firms that manage   important trends in Capital Markets and
                                                                                                            to retain global business models or which have a deep   concludes that changes in investor behaviour, as
                                                                                                            regional franchise in growing markets, may be able to   well as changes in technology and technology-
        The Securities Services industry has generated relatively   Looking forward, our analysis suggests that   increase their business.              enabled competition, are likely to have the
        stable revenues driven by accumulation of Assets under   developments in the broader Capital Markets                                            biggest impact on the industry:
        Custody (AUC) or Administration (AUA) and underlying   ecosystem will create continued top-line pressure for   With the knowledge that the Securities Services industry
        trading volumes, even during substantial market swings   the Securities Services industry as we know it, which   — as we know it — will undergo significant change over   Investor behaviour: A continuation of flows into
        witnessed over the last decade. However, the last cycle   will make it difficult for some players to fund required   the next decade, but given the uncertainty of when and   alternative and digital assets, as well as further
        has also seen continued fee compression and decreasing   investments and fend off the threat of potential   how this change will happen, we have taken a scenario-  shifts towards passive/ETF structures combined
        net interest margins at the core of the industry. Even the   disruption. For firms that can afford the required   based approach to identify the drivers of change that are   with further globalisation of the asset flows and
        introduction of value-adding adjacent services has not   investment, there is a significant future growth   expected to have the largest impact on the industry.   higher investor digital service expectations.
        sustainably offset fee pressure on core business models,   opportunity arising from the servicing of new (digital)
        since new services have typically been included in existing   asset classes and leveraging of new technologies within
        service offerings and have thus become subject to the   Capital Markets, with higher margin for associated   Exhibit 2: Change in investor behaviour theme*
        same pricing challenges.                    products and services.
                                                                                                            Average ratings of disruption potential and relevance for the industry from the perspective of Custodians and CSDs
                                                                                                            * Includes the following relevant forces from Section 3: increased adoption of new technology, financial deepening and globalisation, shift into digital and alternative assets and shifat to passive and ESG.
                                                                                                                                                      Custodian                    CSD
        Exhibit 1: Impact of Capital Markets ecosystem trends on key drivers for the                         Underlying drivers of change   Disruption potential  Relevance  Disruption potential  Relevance
        Securities Services industry from the ISSA Working Group analysis
                                                                                                             Continued flows into alternatives and Digital Assets

                                                                        Margins/   Required                  Investor demand for digital service delivery
        Force                             AYA/AUC  Interest rates  Trading volumes
                                                                        Profitability  investment
                                                                                                             Continued flows into passive funds and ETFs
        Shift to passive and ESG
                                                                                                             Rise of “Generation Z” investor type
        Shift into digital and alternative assets
                                                                                                             Growing importance of retal over inst. investors
        Financial deepening and globalisation
                                                                                                             Growing self-direction of investment decisions
        Increased adoption of new technology
                                                                                                             Accelerating technology adoption
        Industry disruption by Big Tech
                                                                                                             Growing demand for personalised services
        Increased data and associated use cases
                                                                                                             Growing demand for data solutions
        Emerging new risks                                                                                   Accelerating trust in technology solutions
        Increased sourcing and partnerships                                                                  Globalisation of asset flows

        Loose monetary and expansionary fiscal policy                                                        Relaxation of data sharing and privacy rules
        Uncertain regulation                                                                                 Relaxation of suitability rules



          Positive impact  Neutral impact  Negative impact  No impact          Source: Oliver Wyman           Positive impact  Neutral impact  Negative impact  No impact     Source: ISSA Member survey
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