Page 28 - ISLA_SLReport_Sep2019
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Global Equity Markets in Focus







      As we have highlighted elsewhere in this report, global   The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index   the reported increases in both available inventory and   is working hard with key industry stakeholders to develop
      markets, world economies and we as individuals   (VIX) hit a five year high of 36 on the 24 December, leading   on-loan  balances  are  asset  price  inflation,  rather  than   best practice and market codes of conduct to provide
      have  suffered  from  one  thing  in  the  past  six  months,    to hedge funds and other AIMs starting 2019 risk neutral.   significant  new  loans  or  equity  assets  coming  into   viable governance around these issues.
      uncertainty. After something of a very challenging year   Although equity markets have shown some strong growth,   lending programmes.
      for equity markets in 2018, 2019 has not brought the   especially in the first three months of the year, hedge                                 If we look at the first six months of the year in more detail,
      sustained downturn predicted by many. Heightening   funds were slow to redeploy capital on both the long and   As we think more broadly about the role of lending and   Fig 16 highlights how the market appeared to trade more
      geo-political tensions, looming trade wars and changing   short side. This conservatism led to something of a lack   retail investors, it is worth noting the growing importance   effectively with no real direction or momentum.
      central bank policy have however, all negatively impacted   of real investment conviction, and has prevailed for the   of the sustainable finance agenda and ESG investment
      market sentiment. Although it is not the role of this   rest of the year to date. The continued uncertainty that we   principles. For our markets, we have some very real   It shows how equities made available for lending rose
      publication to comment on the political ramifications of   have discussed elsewhere in this report has manifested   challenges to ensure that there is sufficient secondary   broadly in line with equity market indices, whilst on-loan
      Brexit, there is no doubt the uncertainties created by the   itself in a generally suppressed equity market, with hedge   market liquidity through the provision of securities   balances moved within a very small trading range, in or
      current political impasse here in the UK, combined with a   fund leverage at modest levels throughout the first six   lending to compliment and support investors in and   around €1 trillion.
      lack of clarity as to what exactly might happen next, are   months of the year.                    around these markets.
      only compounding the already challenging economic and                                                                                          None of the market volatility in terms of on-loan balances
      political headwinds seen elsewhere.         As at the end of June 2019, there were circa €1.1 trillion   The provision of a deep and liquid supply of ESG securities   seen in the latter half of 2018, was repeated during the
                                                  of equity securities on-loan from an available lendable   will facilitate effective price discovery for investors, and   first six months of the year.
      Inevitably, our markets have not been immune to this   supply of just over €13 trillion. This represented a   ensure sufficient market liquidity to allow them to enter
      increasingly complex and interconnected macroeconomic   6% increase in on-loan balances and a 19% rise   and exit these markets/investments.   This trading backdrop led to a fall in reported revenues
      picture. We have already discussed in this report   in securities being made available for lending by                                          across the sector. Revenues from equity securities lending
      how the end of QE has changed the dynamics of the   institutional investors.                       Aligning the governance principles that are enshrined   represented some 80% of revenues across the industry.
      government bond lending markets this year. Similarly,                                              within the ESG investment ethos with securities lending,
      the broader economic backdrop has shaped investment   These increases should however be considered against   is also an important consideration for institutional   In the first half of 2019, total revenues fell by some $900
      management sentiment and therefore behavior in the past    the previously discussed circa 15% increase in equity   investors. It is critical that investors aspire to discharge   million to $5billion according to data recently published
      six months.                                 market valuations over the period. Taking into account   their governance obligations in an appropriate and   by IHS Market, of which equity lending was the largest
                                                  experiences from prior reporting periods and the impact   responsible way. To do this, it will be important that   contributor to the downward momentum. In Europe,
      The final months of 2018 saw significant de-risking by   that changes in asset prices can have on securities   institutional investors have fully developed approaches   we did observe some greater volatility in reported on-
      hedge funds that followed a rise in equity market volatility.   lending  programmes,  we  are  confident  that  most  of   to both governance and lending. Both can exist, and ISLA   loan balances. As  Fig 17 highlights, there was some


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